This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 42% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 42% to break even | 12%–65% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 42% to break even | 34%–71% | 11 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 42% to break even | 32%–64% | 6 points betterwon 48%, needs 42% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
4Q total points in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 4th quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| 27 |
| -16.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 34 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 6 | 0 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 31 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 0 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 21 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 67% to break even |
| -25.4Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 4th quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 55% to break even | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 4th quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -23.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 15 of 17· last season88%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| LV -0.5 2nd quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| LV -2.5 2nd quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 2nd half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 34% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 3rd quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| LV -2.5 1st half spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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