This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 15 of 1788%needs 53% to break even | 70%–96% | 35 points betterwon 88%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 18 of 2378%needs 53% to break even | 62%–89% | 25 points betterwon 78%, needs 53% |
Tonight LV plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV -0.5 2nd quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| 26 |
| -2.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 28 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 29 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 9 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | 33 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 9 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 30 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -31.4Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 1st half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 34% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 39% to break even |
| -6.5Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| LV -2.5 2nd quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 2nd half totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 34% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 3rd quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, LV gamesLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| LV -2.5 1st half spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 2nd quarter totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| LV +0.5 1st half spreadLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalLas Vegas Raiders · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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