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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Jonathan Taylor over 80.5 rushing yards
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price+117BetOnline
Price needs46.1%wins to break even
Every game12 of 23this season and last
Trend score-13.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% | 78.8rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 46% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% | 72.1rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 46% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% | 81.8rushing yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 46% to break even | 35%–88% | 21 points betterwon 67%, needs 46% | 82rushing yards |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 46% to break even | 29%–66% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% | 93.2rushing yards |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 46% to break even | 36%–68% | 6 points betterwon 52%, needs 46% | 90.3rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 11 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 72.4 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 4th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIN defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Jonathan Taylor over 80.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 80.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 80.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TEN | 94 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  PIT | 45 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 95 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  HOU | 68 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  KC | 92 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BAL | 98 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | HOU | 26 | -54.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  JAX | 70 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  SF | 46 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  SEA | 87 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | JAX | 74 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | HOU | 85 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | KC | 58 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  ATL | 244 | +163.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | PIT | 45 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | TEN | 153 | +72.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  LAC | 94 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  ARI | 123 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  LV | 66 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  LAR | 76 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | TEN | 102 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  DEN | 165 | +84.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  MIA | 71 | -9.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +159at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 39% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -23.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 67.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -115at BetMGM | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -34.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -29.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 70.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -27.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 71.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -111at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -25.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 79.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -168at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 63% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jonathan Taylor in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +165at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 38% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -2.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 18.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 45% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -3.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +189at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 35% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -6.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 17.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -105at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 51% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -7.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +225at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 31% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 15.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -193at DraftKings | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 66% to break even8 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +175at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -12.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 16.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -156at BetOnline | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 61% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -12.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 114.5 rush + rec yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 35% to break even3 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 52% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 49% to break even6 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +105at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 49% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.