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NFLPlayer propRush attempts
Jonathan Taylor over 19.5 rush attempts
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+165Fanatics
Price needs37.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 23this season and last
Trend score-2.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 38% to break even | 44%–95% | 42 points betterwon 80%, needs 38% | 20.6rush attempts |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 38% to break even | 35%–81% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% | 19.8rush attempts |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 38% to break even | 39%–78% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% | 20.1rush attempts |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 38% to break even | 35%–88% | 29 points betterwon 67%, needs 38% | 20.3rush attempts |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 38% to break even | 24%–61% | 3 points betterwon 41%, needs 38% | 19rush attempts |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 38% to break even | 32%–64% | 10 points betterwon 48%, needs 38% | 19.3rush attempts |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 11 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 19 rush attempts a game to running backs, the 5th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 21.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIN defends running backs
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Every book's price
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Jonathan Taylor over 19.5 rush attempts4 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rush attempts in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush attempts | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TEN | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  PIT | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  HOU | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  KC | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BAL | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | HOU | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  JAX | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  SF | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  SEA | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | JAX | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | HOU | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | KC | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  ATL | 32 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | PIT | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | TEN | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  LAC | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  ARI | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  LV | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  LAR | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | TEN | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  DEN | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  MIA | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +159at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 39% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -26.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -117at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 54% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 18.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -161at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 62% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jonathan Taylor in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 67.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -115at BetMGM | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 89.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +200at Fanatics | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 33% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -8.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +225at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 31% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +130at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 43% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -11.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +175at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -12.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 60.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -172at BetOnline | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 63% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -116at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 54% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 114.5 rush + rec yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 35% to break even3 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 90.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +154at BetOnline | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 39% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 80.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +117at BetOnline | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 46% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 66% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDJonathan Taylor · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 52% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.