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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Aaron Jones Sr. over 49.5 rushing yards
Won7 of 10last 10 games · 70%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game9 of 17this season and last
Trend score-2.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 40% to break even | 44%–95% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% | 82rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 40% to break even | 44%–87% | 30 points betterwon 70%, needs 40% | 66.1rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 40% to break even | 39%–78% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% | 60.8rushing yards |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 40% to break even | 44%–95% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% | 82rushing yards |
| Last season |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 7 at home. Tonight: IND allows 95.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 14th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6). How IND defends running backs
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Aaron Jones Sr. over 49.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
More on Aaron Jones Sr. in this game
This player's other props in the game.
