This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 66% to break even | 44%–87% | 4 points betterwon 70%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 66% to break even | 46%–83% | 1 points betterwon 67%, needs 66% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 66% to break even | 50%–96% | 18 points betterwon 83%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 13 of 1776%needs 66% to break even | 57%–89% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 18.5 rush attemptsJonathan Taylor |
| Every game | 18 of 2378%needs 66% to break even | 62%–89% | 13 points betterwon 78%, needs 66% |
| 94 |
| +34.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 45 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 95 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 68 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 92 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 98 | +38.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 26 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 70 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 46 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 87 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 74 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 85 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 58 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 244 | +184.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 45 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 153 | +93.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 94 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 123 | +63.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 66 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 76 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 102 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 165 | +105.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 71 | +11.5 | Won |
| +146at Kalshi |
| 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 41% to break even |
| -25.0Not beating its price |
| Under 68.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -30.3Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -29.7Not beating its price |
| Under 70.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -26.4Not beating its price |
| Under 71.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 rushing yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +101at Kalshi |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +111at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 114.5 rush + rec yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 rush + rec yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -135at Fanatics | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsJonathan Taylor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 50% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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