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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Laquon Treadwell under 9.5 receiving yards
Won6 of 6last season · 100%
Best price+189Kalshi
Price needs34.6%wins to break even
Every game7 of 12this season and last
Trend score-2.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 35% to break even | 0%–35% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% | 35.6receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 35% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% | 17.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1258%needs 35% to break even | 36%–78% | 24 points betterwon 58%, needs 35% | 14.8receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 35% to break even | 4%–50% | 18 points shortwon 17%, needs 35% | 29.7receiving yards |
| Last season | 6 of 6100%needs 35% to break even | 69%–100% | 65 points betterwon 100%, needs 35% | 0receiving yards |
| Every game | 7 of 1258%needs 35% to break even | 36%–78% | 24 points betterwon 58%, needs 35% | 14.8receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 6 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 132.8 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How MIN defends wide receivers
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Every book's price
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Laquon Treadwell under 9.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Laquon Treadwell in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +138at DraftKings | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 42% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +750at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 12% to break even0 of 6 on the road | -8.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 receptionsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -199at Kalshi | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 67% to break even4 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +180at Fanatics | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -20.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 receptionsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -165at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 62% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.