This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 12% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 12% to break even | 0%–35% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 12% to break even | 0%–21% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 120%needs 12% to break even | 0%–18% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 12% to break even | 0%–31% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| Last season | 0 of 60%needs 12% to break even | 0%–31% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
| Every game | 0 of 120%needs 12% to break even | 0%–18% | 12 points shortwon 0%, needs 12% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 6 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 0.6 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 8th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIN defends wide receivers
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Laquon Treadwell game, newest first: whether Treadwell scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +138at DraftKings | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 42% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 42% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -142at Kalshi | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 59% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -113at DraftKings | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -103at Kalshi | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 18.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -115at BetMGM | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -199at Kalshi | 6 of 6· last season100%needs 67% to break even3 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 18.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -17.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +165at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -17.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -120at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -17.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 30.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +139at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 42% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.