This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 59% to break even | 14%–73% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% | 35.6receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 59% to break even | 44%–87% | 11 points betterwon 70%, needs 59% | 17.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1275%needs 59% to break even | 51%–90% | 16 points betterwon 75%, needs 59% | 14.8receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 59% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% | 29.7receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 6 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 132.8 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How MIN defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 69%–100% |
| 41 points betterwon 100%, needs 59% |
| 0receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 1275%needs 59% to break even | 51%–90% | 16 points betterwon 75%, needs 59% | 14.8receiving yards |
| Wk 4 | 42 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 61 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +24.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 0 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 0 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 0 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 0 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +24.5 | Won |
| -186at DraftKings |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even3 of 6 on the road |
| -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -120at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -111at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -22.6Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -28.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +119at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +165at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 receiving yardsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +139at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 42% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +138at DraftKings |
| 6 of 6· last season100%needs 42% to break even3 of 6 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.3Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +750at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 12% to break even0 of 6 on the road | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +180at Fanatics | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsLaquon Treadwell · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -165at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 62% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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