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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Keenan Allen under 49.5 receiving yards
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-168Kalshi
Price needs62.7%wins to break even
Every game15 of 23this season and last
Trend score-11.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 63% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% | 45.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 63% to break even | 54%–93% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% | 38.5receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 63% to break even | 59%–92% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% | 36.7receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 63% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% | 45.4receiving yards |
| Last season | 12 of 1867%needs 63% to break even | 47%–82% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% | 44.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 15 of 2365%needs 63% to break even | 48%–79% | 3 points betterwon 65%, needs 63% | 44.7receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 11 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 132.8 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How MIN defends wide receivers
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Keenan Allen under 49.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TEN | 82 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  PIT | 45 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  HOU | 63 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  KC | 5 | +44.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  BAL | 32 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  NE | 25 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 |  DEN | 36 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | HOU | 17 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  DAL | 44 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | KC | 36 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  PHI | 22 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  LV | 30 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  JAX | 53 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | PIT | 19 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | TEN | 41 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  MIN | 44 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  IND | 119 | -69.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  MIA | 27 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  WSH | 58 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  NYG | 37 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | DEN | 65 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | LV | 61 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | KC | 68 | -18.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -122at FanDuel | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 40.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 53% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 41.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -114at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -25.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 42.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -118at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -25.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 43.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -25.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 44.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -116at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -30.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +154at FanDuel | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 39% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 54.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +130at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 43% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -27.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +250at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 29% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -16.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 64.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +196at BetOnline | 3 of 18· last season17%needs 34% to break even0 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Keenan Allen in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +406at Polymarket | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 20% to break even1 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -148at DraftKings | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 60% to break even10 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  -137at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 58% to break even6 of 11 on the road | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 4.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +121at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 45% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -18.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +126at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.