This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 45.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 38.5receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 36.7receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 45.4receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 11 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 132.8 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How MIN defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 37%–73% |
| 2 points betterwon 56%, needs 53% |
| 44.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 53% to break even | 36%–68% | 1 points shortwon 52%, needs 53% | 44.7receiving yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 82 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 45 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 63 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 32 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 25 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 36 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 17 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 44 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 36 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 22 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 30 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 53 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 19 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 41 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 44 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 119 | -75.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 27 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 58 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 37 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 65 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 61 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 68 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| -122at FanDuel |
| 9 of 18· last season50%needs 55% to break even5 of 11 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.2Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 53% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 41.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -118at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -116at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even3 of 11 on the road | -30.0Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +154at FanDuel | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 39% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +130at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 43% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -27.5Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +250at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 29% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 receiving yardsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +196at BetOnline | 3 of 18· last season17%needs 34% to break even0 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +370at Fanatics |
| 4 of 18· last season22%needs 21% to break even1 of 11 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -148at DraftKings | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 60% to break even10 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -137at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 58% to break even6 of 11 on the road | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +121at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 45% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsKeenan Allen · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +126at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even1 of 11 on the road | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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