This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% | 1.6extra points made |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% | 2extra points made |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 60% to break even | 52%–87% | 14 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% | 1.7extra points made |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% | 1.6extra points made |
| Last season |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Extra points made in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Extra points made | Beat 2.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 12 of 1771%needs 60% to break even |
| 51%–85% |
| 11 points betterwon 71%, needs 60% |
| 1.8extra points made |
| Every game | 16 of 2273%needs 60% to break even | 55%–85% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% | 1.8extra points made |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| +120at BetMGM |
| 5 of 17· last season29%needs 45% to break even3 of 10 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +105at Fanatics |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 at home |
| -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 field goals madeWill Reichard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even7 of 10 at home | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 field goals madeWill Reichard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +148at DraftKings | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 40% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 kicking pointsWill Reichard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 55% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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