This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 48% to break even | 27%–86% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% | 2extra points made |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 48% to break even | 54%–93% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% | 2.3extra points made |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1182%needs 48% to break even | 57%–94% | 34 points betterwon 82%, needs 48% | 2.4extra points made |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 48% to break even | 35%–88% | 19 points betterwon 67%, needs 48% | 2extra points made |
| Last season | 5 of 5100%needs 48% to break even | 65%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% | 2.8extra points made |
| Every game | 9 of 1182%needs 48% to break even | 57%–94% | 34 points betterwon 82%, needs 48% | 2.4extra points made |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 5 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Extra points made in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 extra points madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -136at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 58% to break even1 of 5 on the road | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.