This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 49% to break even | 0%–35% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% | 12.2kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 49% to break even | 7%–46% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% | 10.4kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1118%needs 49% to break even | 6%–43% | 31 points shortwon 18%, needs 49% | 10.8kicking points |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 49% to break even | 4%–50% | 32 points shortwon 17%, needs 49% | 11kicking points |
| Last season | 1 of 520%needs 49% to break even | 5%–56% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% | 10.6kicking points |
| Every game | 2 of 1118%needs 49% to break even | 6%–43% | 31 points shortwon 18%, needs 49% | 10.8kicking points |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 5 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 kicking pointsSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -140at Fanatics | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even5 of 5 on the road | -3.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 kicking pointsSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +108at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 48% to break even5 of 5 on the road | 3.3Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 extra points madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +110at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last season100%needs 48% to break even4 of 5 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight | |
| Over 1.5 field goals madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even5 of 5 on the road | 0.8Slight | ||
| Under 1.5 field goals madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -119at DraftKings | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 54% to break even0 of 5 on the road | -34.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 extra points madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -136at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 58% to break even1 of 5 on the road | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.