This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 48% to break even | 65%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% | 12.2kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 48% to break even | 54%–93% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% | 10.4kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1182%needs 48% to break even | 57%–94% | 34 points betterwon 82%, needs 48% | 10.8kicking points |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 48% to break even | 50%–96% | 35 points betterwon 83%, needs 48% | 11kicking points |
| Last season | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% | 10.6kicking points |
| Every game | 9 of 1182%needs 48% to break even | 57%–94% | 34 points betterwon 82%, needs 48% | 10.8kicking points |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 5 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 kicking pointsSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 49% to break even0 of 5 on the road | -30.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 kicking pointsSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -138at DraftKings | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 58% to break even0 of 5 on the road | -36.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 extra points madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +110at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last season100%needs 48% to break even4 of 5 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight | |
| Over 1.5 field goals madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even5 of 5 on the road | 0.8Slight | ||
| Under 1.5 field goals madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -119at DraftKings | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 54% to break even0 of 5 on the road | -34.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 extra points madeSpencer Shrader · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -136at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 58% to break even1 of 5 on the road | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.