This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 56% to break even | 44%–87% | 14 points betterwon 70%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 56% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 56% to break even | 50%–96% | 28 points betterwon 83%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 56% to break even | 20%–61% | 17 points shortwon 38%, needs 56% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Interceptions thrown in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Interceptions thrown | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownDaniel Jones |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 199.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 56% to break even | 35%–70% | 3 points shortwon 53%, needs 56% |
| 0 |
| -0.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| +101at Kalshi |
| 8 of 13· last season62%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -103at Kalshi |
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.3Not beating its price |
| Over 196.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 197.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 completionsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 33.5 pass attemptsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 passing TDsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 completionsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -26.3Not beating its price |
| Under 196.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 53% to break even | -33.5Not beating its price |
| Under 197.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 53% to break even | -33.8Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 54% to break even | -34.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.