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NFLPlayer propPassing TDs
Daniel Jones under 0.5 passing tds
Won2 of 5last 5 games · 40%
Best price+173Kalshi
Price needs36.6%wins to break even
Every game3 of 19this season and last
Trend score-21.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 37% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 37% to break even | 8%–41% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 37% to break even | 12%–65% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 1 of 138%needs 37% to break even | 2%–28% | 29 points shortwon 8%, needs 37% |
| Every game |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Daniel Jones under 0.5 passing tds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing TDs in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing TDs | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TEN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
More on Daniel Jones in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 199.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones |
