This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 72% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 72% to break even | 65%–100% | 28 points betterwon 100%, needs 72% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 72% to break even | 79%–100% | 28 points betterwon 100%, needs 72% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 72% to break even | 52%–87% | 2 points betterwon 73%, needs 72% |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 72% to break even | 65%–100% | 28 points betterwon 100%, needs 72% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 72% to break even | 34%–71% | 19 points shortwon 53%, needs 72% |
| Every game | 14 of 2264%needs 72% to break even | 46%–78% | 8 points shortwon 64%, needs 72% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against min to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 36.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Oct 4 | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 6 | +6 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 31 | +31 | Won |
| Nov 30 | -26 | -26 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 23 | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 28 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 38 | +38 | Won |
| Sep 14 | -16 | -16 | Lost |
| Sep 8 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 37% to break even |
| -0.0Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 43% to break even | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Caesars | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 1st half totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 team totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 56% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| MIN -1.5 4th quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, MIN gamesMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 4th quarter totalMinnesota Vikings · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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