This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 60% to break even | 65%–100% | 40 points betterwon 100%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 60% to break even | 52%–87% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 60% to break even | 50%–96% | 23 points betterwon 83%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 13 of 1872%needs 60% to break even | 53%–86% | 12 points betterwon 72%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 18 of 2475%needs 60% to break even | 58%–86% | 15 points betterwon 75%, needs 60% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 56.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB +0.5 1st quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| 36 |
| +20.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 38 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 31 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 | 49 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 37 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 61 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 58 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 19 | +37.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | 65 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | 38 | +18.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 60 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 49 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 55 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 29 | +27.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 47 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | 17 | +39.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 29 | +27.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 60 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 50 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 45 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 80 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 23 | +33.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 45 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 40 | +16.5 | Won |
| 7 of 18· last season39%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -43.2Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.7Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.2Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.3Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.2Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 18· last season33%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 18· last season28%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.0Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 5 of 18· last season28%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.1Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, GB gamesGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 9.4Strong |
| GB +2.5 1st quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.1Strong |
| GB +3.5 1st quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 8.5Strong |
| GB +1.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| GB +0.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| GB +2.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| GB -2.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 35% to break even | -0.6Not beating its price |
| GB -0.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| GB -2.5 spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 35% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price |
| GB -1.5 spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 37% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| GB +3.5 1st half spreadGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
| GB to win moneylineGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | NV+163at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 38% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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