This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 55% to break even | 65%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 55% to break even | 65%–98% | 35 points betterwon 90%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 55% to break even | 67%–95% | 32 points betterwon 87%, needs 55% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 55% to break even | 69%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 15 of 1883%needs 55% to break even | 65%–93% | 29 points betterwon 83%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 21 of 2488%needs 55% to break even | 73%–95% | 33 points betterwon 88%, needs 55% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against gb 1q +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.