This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 46% to break even | 0%–35% | 46 points shortwon 0%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 46% to break even | 13%–56% | 16 points shortwon 30%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 46% to break even | 13%–48% | 19 points shortwon 27%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 46% to break even | 4%–50% | 29 points shortwon 17%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 5 of 1828%needs 46% to break even | 14%–47% | 18 points shortwon 28%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 6 of 2425%needs 46% to break even | 14%–42% | 21 points shortwon 25%, needs 46% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 55.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 55.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 36 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 31 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 49 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 37 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 61 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 58 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 19 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 65 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 60 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 49 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 55 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 29 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 47 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 17 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 29 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 60 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 50 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 45 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 80 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 23 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 45 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 40 | -15.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.