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NFLGame lineSpread
GB -1.5 (spread)
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+162Polymarket
Price needs38.2%wins to break even
Every game13 of 24this season and last
Trend score-5.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 38% to break even | 44%–95% | 42 points betterwon 80%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 38% to break even | 33%–72% | 15 points betterwon 53%, needs 38% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 38% to break even | 35%–88% | 28 points betterwon 67%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 9 of 1850%needs 38% to break even | 32%–68% | 12 points betterwon 50%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 13 of 2454%needs 38% to break even | 38%–70% | 16 points betterwon 54%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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GB -1.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against gb -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  DAL | 10 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  CHI | 24 | +22.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  TB | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 24 |  ATL | -21 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NYJ | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  MIN | -17 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | CHI | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | MIN | -13 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 |  BAL | -17 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | CHI | -6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  DEN | -8 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | CHI | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 |  DET | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | MIN | 17 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  NYG | 7 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  PHI | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 |  CAR | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  PIT | 10 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  ARI | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  CIN | 9 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | DAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  CLE | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 |  WSH | 9 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | DET | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Green Bay Packers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.