This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 59% to break even | 14%–73% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 59% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 59% to break even | 28%–67% | 12 points shortwon 47%, needs 59% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 59% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 59% to break even | 36%–78% | evenwon 58%, needs 59% |
| Every game |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 89.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 89.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 62 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsDrake London |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doesn't score a TDDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 37%–73% |
| 3 points shortwon 56%, needs 59% |
| 118 |
| -28.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 96 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 194 | -104.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 51 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 29 | +60.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 78 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 4 | +85.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 27 | +62.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 119 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 104 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 118 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 42 | +47.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 158 | -68.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 110 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 55 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 49 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 55 | +34.5 | Won |
| -191at Kalshi |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 66% to break even |
| -28.8Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 57% to break even | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Over 81.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at BetRivers | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 82.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 84.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 99.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 39% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -161at Kalshi |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 34% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +135at BetMGM | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 43% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 65% to break even | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -132at DraftKings | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.