This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 39% to break even | 13%–56% | 9 points shortwon 30%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 39% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 39% to break even | 12%–65% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 39% to break even | 22%–64% | 3 points betterwon 42%, needs 39% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 99.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 99.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 62 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsDrake London |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doesn't score a TDDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| Every game |
| 7 of 1839%needs 39% to break even |
| 23%–58% |
| evenwon 39%, needs 39% |
| 118 |
| +18.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 4 | 96 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 194 | +94.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 51 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 29 | -70.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 78 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 4 | -95.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 27 | -72.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 119 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 104 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 118 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 42 | -57.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 158 | +58.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 110 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 55 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 49 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 55 | -44.5 | Lost |
| +146at Kalshi |
| 6 of 12· last season50%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.4Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 81.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Under 82.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 84.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 89.5 receiving yardsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -161at Kalshi |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 34% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +135at BetMGM | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 43% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 65% to break even | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 receptionsDrake London · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -132at DraftKings | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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