This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 10% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 10% to break even | 0%–35% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 60%needs 10% to break even | 0%–31% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 60%needs 10% to break even | 0%–31% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 10% to break even | 0%–31% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Every game | 0 of 60%needs 10% to break even | 0%–31% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: SF allows 0.8 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 15th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9). How SF defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Zachariah Branch game, newest first: whether Branch scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| -106at FanDuel |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even |
| 2.6Slight |
| Over 1.5 receptionsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +178at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even | 1.4Slight |
| Over 4.5 receiving yardsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -128at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even | 0.1Slight |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +169at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 receptionsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -270at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 73% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 receptionsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +194at FanDuel | 1 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped17%needs 34% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +200at BetOnline | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 33% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 receiving yardsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +132at BetOnline | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 43% to break even | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 65% to break even | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 receiving yardsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -106at DraftKings | 1 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped17%needs 51% to break even | -26.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsZachariah Branch · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -185at BetOnline | 2 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped33%needs 65% to break even | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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