This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 49% to break even | 12%–65% | 16 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 49% to break even | 24%–61% | 8 points shortwon 41%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 49% to break even | 24%–56% | 10 points shortwon 39%, needs 49% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 36.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 33.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st half team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 23 |
| +13.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 29 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 1 | 51 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 39 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 42 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 44 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 38 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 19 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 43 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 34 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 60 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 34 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 34 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 39 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 47 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 45 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 37 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 32 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 38 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 44 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 23 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 58 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 33 | +3.5 | Won |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 65% to break even |
| -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+108at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 48% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Over 38.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 45% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 40% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -9.0Not beating its price |
| CLE -1.5 4th quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| CLE +0.5 2nd quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even | -12.5Not beating its price |
| CLE -0.5 4th quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| CLE +2.5 2nd quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 67% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price |
| CLE -1.5 spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| CLE -3.5 4th quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| CLE -3.5 2nd quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 36% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| CLE -2.5 2nd quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 45% to break even | -18.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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