This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 59% to break even | 14%–73% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 59% to break even | 44%–87% | 11 points betterwon 70%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 59% to break even | 46%–83% | 8 points betterwon 67%, needs 59% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 59% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 14 of 1782%needs 59% to break even | 63%–93% | 24 points betterwon 82%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 17 of 2374%needs 59% to break even | 57%–86% | 15 points betterwon 74%, needs 59% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CLE points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CLE points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st half team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 13 |
| +7.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 1 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 8 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 59% to break even |
| -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 52% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 team totalCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 43% to break even | -26.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -9.8Not beating its price |
| CLE -1.5 4th quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+108at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 48% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| CLE +0.5 2nd quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even | -12.5Not beating its price |
| CLE -0.5 4th quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 38.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 65% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| CLE +2.5 2nd quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 67% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 game total, CLE gamesCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 40% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| CLE -1.5 spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price |
| CLE -3.5 4th quarter spreadCleveland Browns · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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