This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 45% to break even | 24%–61% | 3 points shortwon 41%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 10 of 2343%needs 45% to break even | 28%–60% | 1 points shortwon 43%, needs 45% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q margin in each game against cle 2q -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 18 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 14 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.