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NFLGame lineTotal
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans: over 40.5
Won6 of 15last 15 games · 40%
Best price+149Polymarket
Price needs40.2%wins to break even
Every game9 of 23this season and last
Trend score-16.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 40% to break even | 19%–65% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 40% to break even | 22%–61% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 40% to break even | 22%–78% | 10 points betterwon 50%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 40% to break even | 19%–55% | 5 points shortwon 35%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 40% to break even | 24%–56% | 1 points shortwon 39%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans: over 40.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against over 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 40.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  BAL | 23 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  NYJ | 29 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 |  PIT | 51 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  CAR | 39 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  TB | 42 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  JAX | 44 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  CIN | 38 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | PIT | 19 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  BUF | 43 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  CHI | 34 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  TEN | 60 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  SF | 34 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  LV | 34 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | BAL | 39 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | NYJ | 47 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  NE | 45 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  MIA | 37 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | PIT | 32 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  MIN | 38 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  DET | 44 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 |  GB | 23 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | BAL | 58 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | CIN | 33 | -7.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Cleveland Browns in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.