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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Tony Pollard over 74.5 rushing yards
Won4 of 10last 10 games · 40%
Best price+115BetMGM
Price needs46.5%wins to break even
Every game6 of 23this season and last
Trend score-27.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 47% to break even | 5%–56% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% | 62.8rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 47% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% | 68.8rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 47% to break even | 17%–54% | 13 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% | 67.1rushing yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 47% to break even | 4%–50% | 30 points shortwon 17%, needs 47% | 58.2rushing yards |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 47% to break even | 15%–49% | 17 points shortwon 29%, needs 47% | 63.6rushing yards |
| Every game | 6 of 2326%needs 47% to break even | 14%–43% | 20 points shortwon 26%, needs 47% | 62.2rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 12 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 98.7 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 13th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6). How CLE defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tony Pollard over 74.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 74.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 74.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  IND | 76 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 52 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 48 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 74 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 64 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 35 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  JAX | 48 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  NO | 85 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  KC | 102 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  SF | 104 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  CLE | 161 | +86.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | JAX | 60 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SEA | 20 | -54.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | HOU | 22 | -52.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAC | 56 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | IND | 44 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NE | 18 | -56.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  LV | 34 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 67 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | HOU | 64 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | IND | 45 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  LAR | 92 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 60 | -14.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +119at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 46% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 65.5 rushing yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -110at Fanatics | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 52% to break even9 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 66.5 rushing yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 53% to break even9 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 68.5 rushing yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even9 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 56% to break even9 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tony Pollard in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.