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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Tony Pollard under 9.5 receiving yards
Won5 of 6this season · 83%
Best price-161Kalshi
Price needs61.7%wins to break even
Every game12 of 23this season and last
Trend score-17.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% | 5receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 62% to break even | 44%–87% | 8 points betterwon 70%, needs 62% | 5.9receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 62% to break even | 46%–83% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% | 6.6receiving yards |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 62% to break even | 50%–96% | 22 points betterwon 83%, needs 62% | 4receiving yards |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 62% to break even | 24%–61% | 21 points shortwon 41%, needs 62% | 12.1receiving yards |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 62% to break even | 36%–68% | 10 points shortwon 52%, needs 62% | 10receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 12 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 17.8 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 3rd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How CLE defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tony Pollard under 9.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  IND | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 22 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 1 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | -1 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  JAX | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  NO | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  KC | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  SF | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  CLE | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | JAX | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  SEA | 21 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | HOU | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  LAC | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | IND | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  NE | 43 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  LV | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | HOU | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | IND | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  LAR | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 29 | -19.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -125at BetMGM | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 56% to break even5 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -27.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even5 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +129at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 44% to break even5 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +131at BetOnline | 4 of 17· last season24%needs 43% to break even2 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -29.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +200at BetOnline | 2 of 17· last season12%needs 33% to break even1 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tony Pollard in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.