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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Tony Pollard over 16.5 receiving yards
Won4 of 17last season · 24%
Best price+131BetOnline
Price needs43.3%wins to break even
Every game5 of 23this season and last
Trend score-29.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 5receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 5.9receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 43% to break even | 8%–41% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 6.6receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 43% to break even | 4%–50% | 27 points shortwon 17%, needs 43% | 4receiving yards |
| Last season | 4 of 1724%needs 43% to break even | 11%–43% | 20 points shortwon 24%, needs 43% | 12.1receiving yards |
| Every game | 5 of 2322%needs 43% to break even | 11%–38% | 22 points shortwon 22%, needs 43% | 10receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 12 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 17.8 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 3rd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How CLE defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tony Pollard over 16.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  IND | 0 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 0 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 2 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 22 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 1 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | -1 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  JAX | 17 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  NO | 10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  KC | 0 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  SF | 8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  CLE | 0 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | JAX | 3 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SEA | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | HOU | 4 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAC | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | IND | 9 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NE | 43 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  LV | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | HOU | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | IND | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  LAR | 0 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 29 | +12.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -105at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 51% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 6.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -104at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 51% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -13.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsTony Pollard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -161at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 62% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -17.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tony Pollard in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.