This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 57% to break even | 14%–73% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 57% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 57% to break even | 28%–67% | 10 points shortwon 47%, needs 57% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 57% to break even | 22%–78% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 57% to break even | 34%–71% | 4 points shortwon 53%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 57% to break even | 36%–68% | 5 points shortwon 52%, needs 57% |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 47.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -3.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 23 |
| -24.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 53 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 42 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 65 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 41 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 64 | +16.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 50 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 65 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 52 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 24 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 49 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 46 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 33 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 39 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 46 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 46 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | 20 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 54 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 57 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 22 | 68 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 58 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 81 | +33.5 | Won |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even |
| -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 51% to break even | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 56% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 61% to break even | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 63% to break even | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, BAL gamesBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 67% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even |
| 1.5Slight |
| BAL -4.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| BAL -0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| BAL -5.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| BAL +1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| BAL +0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -4.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price |
| BAL +2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 61% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 2nd quarter totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -10.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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