This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 37% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 37% to break even | 27%–73% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 37% to break even | 33%–72% | 16 points betterwon 53%, needs 37% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 37% to break even | 22%–78% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 37% to break even | 29%–66% | 10 points betterwon 47%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 37% to break even | 32%–64% | 11 points betterwon 48%, needs 37% |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bal -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -3.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| -3 |
| -7.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 18 | +13.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | -4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 24 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | -5 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | -18 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | 22 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | -14 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | -34 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | -8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 24 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | -1 | -5.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even |
| 1.5Slight |
| BAL -4.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| BAL -0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| BAL +1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| BAL +2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| BAL +0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 2nd quarter totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 57% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| BAL to win moneylineBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | PX+105at ProphetX | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 49% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price |
| BAL -3.5 1st quarter spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 37% to break even | -13.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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