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NFLGame line1st half spread
BAL 1H -3.5 (1st half spread)
Won8 of 10last 10 games · 80%
Best price+162Polymarket
Price needs38.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 23this season and last
Trend score1.5Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 38% to break even | 44%–95% | 42 points betterwon 80%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 38% to break even | 54%–93% | 42 points betterwon 80%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 38% to break even | 33%–72% | 15 points betterwon 53%, needs 38% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 38% to break even | 50%–96% | 45 points betterwon 83%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 38% to break even | 24%–61% | 3 points betterwon 41%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 38% to break even | 36%–68% | 14 points betterwon 52%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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BAL 1H -3.5 (1st half spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against bal 1h -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CLE | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  ATL | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  TEN | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  DAL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  NO | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  IND | 18 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  PIT | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  GB | 13 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  CIN | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | PIT | -8 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | CIN | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  NYJ | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CLE | -6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  MIN | -1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 |  MIA | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  CHI | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  LAR | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  HOU | -21 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  KC | -10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 |  DET | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | CLE | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  BUF | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Baltimore Ravens in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.