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NFLGame line1st quarter total
Over 10.5 (1st quarter total)
Won3 of 6this season · 50%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game5 of 23this season and last
Trend score-21.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 41% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 41% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 2 of 1712%needs 41% to break even | 4%–30% | 29 points shortwon 12%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 5 of 2322%needs 41% to break even | 11%–38% | 19 points shortwon 22%, needs 41% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 10.5 (1st quarter total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q total points in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CLE | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  ATL | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  TEN | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  DAL | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  NO | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  IND | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  PIT | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 |  GB | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NE | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  CIN | 0 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | PIT | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | CIN | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  NYJ | 0 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CLE | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  MIN | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 |  MIA | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  CHI | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  LAR | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  HOU | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  KC | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 |  DET | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | CLE | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  BUF | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +105at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 10.5 1st quarter totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -172at Polymarket | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Baltimore Ravens in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.