This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 58% to break even | 19%–65% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 58% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 58% to break even | 12%–65% | 25 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 58% to break even | 51%–85% | 12 points betterwon 71%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 14 of 2361%needs 58% to break even | 44%–76% | 3 points betterwon 61%, needs 58% |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
BAL 1H points in each game against under 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | BAL 1H points | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 31 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 27 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 20 | -6.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 1st half team totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 57% to break even | -25.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 1st half team totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 16.5 1st half team totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.