This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 46% to break even | 13%–56% | 16 points shortwon 30%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 46% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 46% to break even | 4%–50% | 29 points shortwon 17%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 46% to break even | 34%–71% | 7 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 10 of 2343%needs 46% to break even | 28%–60% | 2 points shortwon 43%, needs 46% |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against bal 2h -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -3.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| -13 |
| -15.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 12 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -15 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -9 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 17 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 9 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | -8 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 17 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | -8 | -10.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even |
| 1.5Slight |
| BAL -4.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| BAL -0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| BAL +1.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| BAL +0.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 58% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| BAL -5.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| BAL -4.5 spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price |
| BAL +2.5 1st half spreadBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 61% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 2nd quarter totalBaltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 56% to break even | -10.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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