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NFLPlayer propPass attempts
Joe Burrow over 39.5 pass attempts
Won2 of 13last 15 games · 15%
Best price+147DraftKings
Price needs40.5%wins to break even
Every game2 of 13this season and last
Trend score-26.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% | 37.8pass attempts |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 40% to break even | 2%–35% | 30 points shortwon 10%, needs 40% | 36.6pass attempts |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1315%needs 40% to break even | 5%–37% | 25 points shortwon 15%, needs 40% | 34.5pass attempts |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% | 37.8pass attempts |
| Last season | 1 of 813%needs 40% to break even | 3%–41% | 28 points shortwon 13%, needs 40% | 32.4pass attempts |
| Every game | 2 of 1315%needs 40% to break even | 5%–37% | 25 points shortwon 15%, needs 40% | 34.5pass attempts |
Games like tonight
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 7 on the road. Tonight: BAL allows 32.8 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks, the 15th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 33.7). How BAL defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Joe Burrow over 39.5 pass attempts2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pass attempts in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 36.5 pass attemptsJoe Burrow · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -116at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped62%needs 54% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -13.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 37.5 pass attemptsJoe Burrow · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -115at Fanatics | 9 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped69%needs 53% to break even6 of 7 on the road | -8.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Joe Burrow in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.