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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
J.K. Dobbins over 48.5 rushing yards
Won9 of 10last season · 90%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game11 of 16this season and last
Trend score-12.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 46.8rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 60rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 65.3rushing yards |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 53% to break even | 12%–65% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% | 45rushing yards |
| Last season | 9 of 1090%needs 53% to break even | 65%–98% | 37 points betterwon 90%, needs 53% | 77.2rushing yards |
| Every game | 11 of 1669%needs 53% to break even | 48%–84% | 15 points betterwon 69%, needs 53% | 65.1rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 8 on the road. Tonight: ARI allows 107 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 5th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): an easy matchup for this bet. How ARI defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
J.K. Dobbins over 48.5 rushing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  SEA | 41 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  LAC | 68 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  SF | 40 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LAR | 49 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  JAX | 36 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  KC | 36 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 10 |  LV | 77 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  HOU | 61 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  DAL | 111 | +62.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  NYG | 81 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  NYJ | 40 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  PHI | 79 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CIN | 101 | +52.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | LAC | 83 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  IND | 76 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  TEN | 63 | +14.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  +140at Kalshi | 2 of 6· this season33%needs 42% to break even1 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -27.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 48.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -26.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -110at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -19.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 51.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 52.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -118at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 54% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on J.K. Dobbins in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.