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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
J.K. Dobbins under 5.5 receiving yards
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-122DraftKings
Price needs55.0%wins to break even
Every game11 of 16this season and last
Trend score-12.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | 5.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | 4.1receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 55% to break even | 46%–83% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% | 3.9receiving yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 55% to break even | 35%–88% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% | 4.5receiving yards |
| Last season | 7 of 1070%needs 55% to break even | 44%–87% | 15 points betterwon 70%, needs 55% | 3.7receiving yards |
| Every game | 11 of 1669%needs 55% to break even | 48%–84% | 14 points betterwon 69%, needs 55% | 4receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 8 on the road. Tonight: ARI allows 25.2 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 10th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How ARI defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
J.K. Dobbins under 5.5 receiving yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  SEA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  LAC | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  SF | 12 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LAR | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  JAX | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  KC | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 10 |  LV | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  HOU | -2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  DAL | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NYG | -1 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  NYJ | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  PHI | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CIN | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | LAC | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  IND | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  TEN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 receiving yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -20.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 receiving yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -103at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -27.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  +181at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 36% to break even1 of 8 on the road | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on J.K. Dobbins in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last season100%needs 64% to break even7 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 38% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 rush attemptsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 54% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 48.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 53% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 49.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 50% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 receptionsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | +162at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -16.4Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -16.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 51.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 53% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 rush + rec yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 49% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 52.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET |  -124at BetRivers | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 55% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is this season's | -19.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsJ.K. Dobbins · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ET | -174at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 64% to break even6 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.