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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Bo Nix over 11.5 rushing yards
Won12 of 18last season · 67%
Best price-110BetMGM
Price needs52.4%wins to break even
Every game12 of 24this season and last
Trend score-28.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 52% to break even | 0%–35% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 52% to break even | 0%–31% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 12 of 1867%needs 52% to break even | 47%–82% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 12 of 2450%needs 52% to break even | 34%–66% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Bo Nix over 11.5 rushing yards5 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  SEA | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  LAC | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  SF | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LAR | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  JAX | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  KC | 2 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  BUF | 29 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | LAC | 49 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | KC | 42 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | JAX | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  GB | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  LV | 15 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  WSH | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | KC | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | LV | -2 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  HOU | 36 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  DAL | -1 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NYG | 48 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  NYJ | 24 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  PHI | 22 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  CIN | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | LAC | 33 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  IND | 20 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  TEN | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsBo Nix · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -103at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 10.5 rushing yardsBo Nix · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  +100at Fanatics | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 11.5 rushing yardsBo Nix · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -107at DraftKings | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 13.5 rushing yardsBo Nix · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |  -120at BetRivers | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsBo Nix · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Bo Nix in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.