This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 53% to break even | 39%–78% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 53% to break even | 4%–50% | 37 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 9 of 1090%needs 53% to break even | 65%–98% | 37 points betterwon 90%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 rush attemptsJ.K. Dobbins |
| 42%–79% |
| 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 53% |
| 40 |
| -11.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 3 | 49 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 36 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 36 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 10 | 77 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 61 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 111 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 81 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 40 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 79 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 101 | +49.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 83 | +31.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 76 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 63 | +11.5 | Won |
| +159at Kalshi |
| 2 of 6· this season33%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -25.4Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 rushing yardsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -126at Kalshi |
| 9 of 10· last season90%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.9Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 rush attemptsJ.K. Dobbins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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