This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 9 of 1656%needs 53% to break even | 36%–74% |
Tonight DEN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ARI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 54.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 54.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 24 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsJaylen Waddle |
| Every game | 14 of 2264%needs 53% to break even | 46%–78% | 10 points betterwon 64%, needs 53% |
| +30.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 19 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 35 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 10 | +44.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 138 | -83.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 2 | +52.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 0 | +54.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 72 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 26 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 50 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 40 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 52 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 84 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 82 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 99 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 15 | +39.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 95 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 110 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 48 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 39 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 68 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 30 | +24.5 | Won |
| -126at Kalshi |
| 9 of 16· last season56%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.2Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ETListed questionable | -122at BetRivers | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ETListed questionable | -115at DraftKings | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.2Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.2Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +110at DraftKings |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even |
| -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsJaylen Waddle · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ETListed questionable | -123at BetOnline | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.