This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 55% to break even | 13%–56% | 25 points shortwon 30%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 55% to break even | 17%–54% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 55% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 8 of 1844%needs 55% to break even | 27%–63% | 10 points shortwon 44%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 11 of 2446%needs 55% to break even | 30%–62% | 9 points shortwon 46%, needs 55% |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
PIT 1H points in each game against over 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | PIT 1H points | Beat 12.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 12 | 6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 21 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 37% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 11.5 1st half team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 12.5 1st half team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 13.5 1st half team totalPittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -168at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.