This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 42% to break even | 0%–35% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% | 4.8receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 617%needs 42% to break even | 4%–50% | 25 points shortwon 17%, needs 42% | 11receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 617%needs 42% to break even | 4%–50% | 25 points shortwon 17%, needs 42% | 11receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 42% to break even | 4%–50% | 25 points shortwon 17%, needs 42% | 11receiving yards |
| Every game | 1 of 6 |
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: PIT allows 142 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 13th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How PIT defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 4%–50% |
| 25 points shortwon 17%, needs 42% |
| 11receiving yards |
| 0 |
| -23.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 2 | 8 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 42 | +18.5 | Won |
| +129at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even |
| 6.9Good |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -113at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | 0.8Slight |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +685at Kalshi |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 13% to break even |
| -4.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsBryce Lance · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsBryce Lance · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | +125at BetOnline | 2 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped33%needs 44% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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