This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 13% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 13% to break even | 5%–56% | 7 points betterwon 20%, needs 13% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 617%needs 13% to break even | 4%–50% | 4 points betterwon 17%, needs 13% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 617%needs 13% to break even | 4%–50% | 4 points betterwon 17%, needs 13% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 13% to break even | 4%–50% | 4 points betterwon 17%, needs 13% |
| Every game | 1 of 617%needs 13% to break even | 4%–50% | 4 points betterwon 17%, needs 13% |
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: PIT allows 0.5 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How PIT defends wide receivers
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Bryce Lance game, newest first: whether Lance scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.