This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 52% to break even | 51%–85% | 19 points betterwon 71%, needs 52% |
| Every game |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pass attempts in each game against under 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 34.5 pass attemptsAaron Rodgers |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 238.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers |
| 14 of 2361%needs 52% to break even |
| 44%–76% |
| 9 points betterwon 61%, needs 52% |
| 49 |
| -14.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 40 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 34 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 39 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 40 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 47 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 39 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 41 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 34 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 15 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 35 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 36 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 34 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 30 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 22 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 23 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 33 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 30 | +4.5 | Won |
| -116at Kalshi |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even |
| -20.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -113at DraftKings |
| 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 35% to break even | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 235.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -117at BetRivers | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 249.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +140at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 42% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -108at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 48% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 rushing yardsAaron Rodgers · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -110at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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