This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 58% to break even | 19%–65% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 58% to break even | 17%–54% | 25 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 58% to break even | 12%–65% | 25 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 58% to break even | 24%–61% | 17 points shortwon 41%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 58% to break even | 24%–56% | 19 points shortwon 39%, needs 58% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 44.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 38.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYG +8.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 61 |
| -16.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 54 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 60 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 19 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 34 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 48 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 51 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 44 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 29 | +15.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 50 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | 48 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 61 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | 47 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 44 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | 58 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 58 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 65 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 9 | 51 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 40 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 39 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 31 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 77 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 27 | +17.5 | Won |
| 14 of 17· last season82%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 60% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 41.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 52% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 43 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | LVG-107at LowVig | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 52% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 40% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even |
| 5.1Good |
| NYG +9.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even | 5.1Good |
| NYG +10.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 51% to break even | 3.3Good |
| NYG +7.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even | 2.7Slight |
| NYG +2.5 1st half spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight |
| NYG to win moneylineNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+413at Novig | 5 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped56%needs 19% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| Over 17.5 team totalNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 43% to break even | 0.2Slight |
| NYG +4.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | 0.2Slight |
| NYG +3.5 1st half spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| NYG +0.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price |
| NYG +5.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 36% to break even | -1.5Not beating its price |
| NYG +13.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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