This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 34% to break even | 35%–81% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 34% to break even | 39%–78% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 34% to break even | 35%–88% | 33 points betterwon 67%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 34% to break even | 39%–76% | 25 points betterwon 59%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 14 of 2361%needs 34% to break even | 44%–76% | 27 points betterwon 61%, needs 34% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against nyg 1h +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 6 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 14 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -15 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | -23 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 13 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | -2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.